Environmental Health Perspectives

Abstract This protocol is reported in accordance with the SPIRIT 2025 guidelines for clinical trial protocols. Introduction: Young children, from birth to age 5 y are particularly vulnerable to indoor air pollutants and respiratory pathogens. Portable air purifiers (or filtration) and upper-room ultraviolet germicidal irradiation (UVGI) are two widely used interventions with the potential to improve indoor air quality (IAQ) and reduce sick-related absences. However, a review of the literature revealed no real-world randomized studies evaluating their effectiveness in reducing young children's sick-related absences in early care and education (ECE) classrooms. Methods and Analysis: The OK-AIR study is a longitudinal, cluster-randomized 2x2 factorial trial conducted in Head Start centers using two implementation cohorts: Cohort 1 (five Head Start centers and 20 classrooms from 2023 to 2024) and Cohort 2 (11 centers and 59 classrooms from 2025 to 2026), with expanded inclusion of rural areas. Cohort 1 enrolled 204 children, 48 teachers and 5 site directors, and Cohort 2 enrolled 462 children, 97 teachers and 11 site directors. Within each center, four classrooms are randomized to: (1) control; (2) portable filtration; (3) upper-room ultraviolet germicidal irradiation (UVGI); or (4) both interventions. Cohort 2 was initially planned as a second factorial trial but was amended to a purifier-only design due to funding changes; details are provided in the protocol amendments section. We collect continuous IAQ data, including particulate matter (PM) with aerodynamic diameters [≤]1 m (PM1), [≤]2.5 m (PM2.5), [≤]4 m (PM4), and [≤]10 m (PM10); total volatile organic compounds (TVOCs) index; nitrogen oxides (NOx) index; carbon monoxide (CO), noise; temperature; and relative humidity, alongside daily child absences. Seasonal environmental surface swabs (dining tables and toilet flooring) are tested by Reverse-Transcriptase quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-qPCR) for Influenza A/B, Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), Human Parainfluenza Virus Type 3 (HPIV3), Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), and Norovirus. IAQ monitoring is structured across Winter, Spring, Summer, and Fall, including designated baseline/off-period weeks to characterize temporal and seasonal variability in environmental measures across classrooms and centers. Multi-informant surveys (Director, Teacher, Parent) capture contextual factors, and children's social-emotional development is assessed using teacher ratings on the Devereux Early Childhood Assessment (DECA). The primary outcome is the sick-related absence rate, analyzed as cumulative absences over the attendance year while accounting for clustering by school and classroom using generalized mixed-effects models. Secondary outcomes include children's social-emotional ratings, IAQ metrics and pathogen detection rates; analyses of IAQ incorporate time/seasonal structure, and season-stratified absenteeism analyses will be treated as secondary/exploratory refinements. An economic evaluation will estimate incremental intervention costs and cost-effectiveness/cost-benefit (such as cost per sick-related absence day averted). Ethics and Dissemination: This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board (IRB) at the University of Oklahoma. Findings will be shared through peer-reviewed publications; presentations at local, state, and national conferences; research briefs developed for lay and policy audiences; and community briefings prioritizing the participating early childhood programs and communities. ISRCTN Trial Registration: ISRCTN78764448 Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the authors and do not reflect the official views of the Uniformed Services University or the United States Department of War. Strengths and Limitations of This Study: {middle dot} Real-world longitudinal cluster RCT: The study uses a rigorous longitudinal cluster-randomized 2x2 factorial design in real-world ECE settings. {middle dot} Combined interventions: Interventions target both air filtration and disinfection, allowing for combined and comparative evaluation. {middle dot} Objective air quality monitoring: Continuous monitoring of IAQ metrics provides objective and reliable data on environmental change. {middle dot} Environmental pathogen surveillance: qPCR on surface swabs yields an objective biological outcome to triangulate with IAQ and absences. {middle dot} Comprehensive context and child measures: Multi-method and multi-reporter data collection includes Head Start attendance records, continuous air monitoring, pathogen detection, contextual surveys completed by center directors, teachers, and parents, and standardized social-emotional assessments (DECA) completed by classroom teachers. Head Start program records providing children's longer-term health data available through Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) authorization. {middle dot} Clustered/temporal complexity: Seasonal design accounts for variation over time but may introduce complexity in modeling temporal effects. {middle dot} Practical Implications: Study findings will have practical implications for Head Start and other ECE programs striving to maximize child attendance with cost effective strategies. Keywords: Early childhood; Head Start; indoor air quality (IAQ); air purifiers; filtration; ultraviolet germicidal irradiation; cluster randomized trial; absenteeism; environmental pathogens; DECA; cost-benefit analysis

Wastewater is increasingly being recognized as an important data stream that can contribute to infectious disease surveillance and forecasting. With this recognition, a growing number of statistical inference approaches are being developed to use wastewater data to provide quantitative insights into epidemiological dynamics. However, few existing approaches have allowed for systematic integration of data streams for inference, for example by combining case incidence data and/or serological data with wastewater data. Furthermore, only a subset of existing approaches have been able to handle missing data without imputation and to handle datasets with different sampling times or intervals. Here, we develop a statistically rigorous, yet lightweight, approach to infer and forecast time-varying effective reproduction numbers (Rt values) using longitudinal wastewater virus concentrations either alone or jointly with additional data streams including case incidence data and serological data. Our approach relies on a state-space modeling approach for inference and forecasting, within the context of a simple bootstrap particle filter. We first describe the structure of our underlying disease transmission process model as well as our observation models. Using a mock dataset, we then show that Rt can be accurately estimated by interfacing this model with case incidence data, wastewater data, or a combination of these two data streams using the bootstrap particle filter. Of note, we show that these data streams alone do not allow for reconstruction of underlying infection dynamics due to structural parameter unidentifiability. We then apply our particle filter to a previously analyzed SARS-CoV-2 dataset from Zurich that includes case data and wastewater data. Our analyses of these real-world datasets indicate that incorporation of process noise (in the form of environmental stochasticity) into the state space model greatly improves our ability to reconstruct the latent variables of the model. We further show that underlying infection dynamics can be made identifiable through the incorporation of serological data and that the bootstrap particle filter can be used to make forecasts of Rt, case incidence, and wastewater virus concentrations. We hope that the inference approach presented here will lead to greater reliance on wastewater data for disease surveillance and forecasting that will aid public health practitioners in responding to infectious disease threats.

Introduction Heat waves are increasingly frequent and linked to higher mortality risks in Hong Kong. However, estimates of total excess mortality associated with heat waves remain unavailable. This study quantifies excess deaths associated with heat waves in Hong Kong from 2014 to 2023. Methods Daily age- and sex-specific mortality rates and population data were obtained from the Hong Kong Life Tables and Census and Statistics Department. Temperature data came from the Hong Kong Observatory, and relative risks were derived from local research. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate heat-attributable deaths under different heat wave definitions, calculating total excess deaths and annualized death rates per 100,000 population. Results Between 2014 and 2023, heat exposure resulted in an estimated 1,455 (95% CI: 1,098-1,812) to 3,238 (95% CI: 3,234-3,242) excess deaths. In 2023, annualized excess death rates ranged from 2.95 (95% CI: 2.41-3.50) to 5.09 (95% CI: 5.07-5.12) per 100,000 people. Males and individuals aged 65 or older were disproportionately affected. Conclusion Over the 10-year study period, 1,455 to 3,238 excess deaths in Hong Kong were attributed to extreme heat. Heat waves now rank among the top ten causes of death in Hong Kong, with mortality rates comparable to diabetes. These findings underscore the need for urgent public health interventions to mitigate the impact of extreme heat.

Compassion fatigue is a well-documented hazard among healthcare and veterinary professionals, yet the psychological toll on informal caregivers of feral cat colonies, likely numbering several tens of thousands in Portugal, remains largely unexplored. This cross-sectional study examines internal and external factors associated with the secondary traumatic stress component of compassion fatigue among 172 informal caregivers in Portugal. Secondary traumatic stress refers to work-related secondary exposure to individuals who have experienced extremely stressful or traumatic events. Structured telephone interviews assessed sociodemographics, colony management, compassion satisfaction, resilience, spiritual well-being, and perceived social support. Univariate and multivariable linear regression identified predictors of compassion fatigue. Results indicate that 47% of participants experienced moderate compassion fatigue, and 10% reported high levels. Multivariable analysis revealed that caring for large colonies (more than 25 cats) and being unemployed were significantly associated with higher fatigue. Conversely, older age, higher perceived family support, and the resilience dimension of serenity served as protective factors. Interestingly, finding meaning in life was positively correlated with fatigue, suggesting that caregivers who perceive their role as central to their life purpose may become more emotionally invested, increasing vulnerability to distress when unable to help animals. Official colony registration and formal institutional support did not significantly alleviate fatigue. These findings highlight that institutional support alone is insufficient to mitigate fatigue among informal caregivers, who experience significant distress driven by both practical burdens and profound emotional involvement. The most frequently reported concern among caregivers was the inability to cover the costs of feeding and veterinary care for the cats. Interventions must address both external needs (e.g., support to cover veterinary and feeding expenses for the cats) and internal coping mechanisms. Implementing psychosocial support alongside trap-neuter-return programs may also improve caregiver well-being and foster sustainable urban feral cat management. This underscores a One Health perspective, demonstrating that animal health is closely interconnected with human well-being and environmental health.

Objective: Minimum unit pricing (MUP) aims to reduce use of cheap, high strength alcoholic beverages that drive harm, yet concerns remain about inequitable effects for structurally vulnerable groups. As part of the Costs, Harms, Expenditures and Alcohol Prices (CHEAP) study, we linked individual-level, product-specific alcohol consumption data from a customized survey with provincial retail price data to estimate prices per standard drink (PPSD) and examine their association with alcohol-related outcomes across sociodemographic groups. Method: A cross-sectional survey of past-week drinkers in British Columbia, Canada, was linked to provincial product-level alcohol sales data. The population weighted sample included 1,217 adults aged [≥] 19 years (716 men; mean age 49.34, SD 16.98). Participants reported product-specific consumption, which was matched to retail prices to calculate individual-level PPSD. Survey weighted quasibinomial models then examined associations between PPSD and three outcomes: (1) causing harm to self or others in the past year, (2) scoring [≥] 8 on the Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test, and (3) consuming [≥] 15 standard drinks per week. Analyses were stratified by income, education, subjective social status, and race/ethnicity. Results: Lower price per standard drink was associated with higher odds of harm (OR 3.05, 95% CI 1.25-7.40) and scoring [≥] 8 on the AUDIT (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.37-3.99). Associations were stronger among structurally disadvantaged groups, including low-income respondents and Indigenous participants. Conclusions: Lower alcohol affordability is linked to risky alcohol use, with the strongest effects among structurally disadvantaged groups. MUP would reduce this risk and promote health equity.

Importance: Lung cancer mortality in the United States has fallen substantially in recent decades, yet the relative influence of behavioral, environmental, socioeconomic, and therapeutic factors and their sex specific contributions remains unclear. Understanding these drivers is essential to sustain progress and reduce persistent disparities. Objective: To quantify how behavioral, environmental, socioeconomic, and therapeutic determinants collectively shaped US lung cancer mortality from 1994 to 2020, assess sex specific differences, and forecast mortality trajectories through 2030 using an integrated machine learning framework. Design, Setting, and Participants: Ecological time series study using publicly available national data from 1994 to 2020. Sex stratified analyses were conducted integrating lung cancer mortality, smoking prevalence, fine particulate matter PM2.5 exposure, Human Development Index HDI, per capita healthcare expenditure, healthcare inflation, insurance coverage, income inequality, and annual drug approvals. Exposures: Behavioral smoking, environmental PM2.5, socioeconomic HDI health expenditure inflation, uninsurance inequality, and therapeutic drug approval indicators. Main Outcomes and Measures: Age-standardized lung cancer mortality per 100000 population. Temporal changes were modeled using Joinpoint regression. Concurrent associations were assessed using multivariable and elastic net regression, and forecasts were estimated with AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average models with exogenous variables ARIMAX. Results: From 1994 to 2020, mortality declined by 59 percent in men, from 52.9 to 21.7 per 100000, and by 40 percent in women, from 26.7 to 15.9 per 100000, with faster declines after 2015. Smoking and PM2.5 decreased by more than 45 percent but remained strongly correlated with mortality. In elastic net models, PM2.5 was the strongest predictor for men, while smoking was the strongest predictor for women. Per capita expenditure and HDI ranked higher for men, while uninsurance and income inequality were strong predictors for women. Mortality declines occurred during periods of major approvals of lung cancer drugs. Forecasts suggest continued but slower declines through 2030, with projected rates of 20.2 and 14.9 deaths per 100000 in men and women, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: Sex specific declines in lung cancer mortality reflect different dominant correlates, with air pollution more important in men and smoking more important in women, while socioeconomic conditions and therapeutic advances also influence trends. Continued tobacco control, improved air quality, and equitable access to screening and modern treatment are essential to sustain further reductions in mortality. Keywords: Lung Neoplasms, Sex Factors, Air Pollution, Smoking, Socioeconomic Factors, Machine Learning

Purpose: The GIG-OSH cohort was established to investigate the impact of digital platform work on occupational safety and health (OSH), working and employment conditions, and health in seven countries in Europe. Participants: The cohort comprises 3,945 digital platform workers from seven European countries. The sample includes both web-based workers (e.g., micro-tasking, freelance design) and on-location workers (e.g., delivery, transport). Participants were recruited using non-probabilistic sampling strategies tailored to national contexts, including social media advertising, recruitment through micro-task platforms, and on-site field outreach. Multidimensional data have been collected through online surveys (implemented via REDCap) covering sociodemographic characteristics, working and employment conditions, psychosocial risks, algorithmic management, and physical and mental health indicators. Findings to date: Participants had a mean age of 32.6 years at baseline (SD 10.4), and the majority are male (58.8%), with a higher concentration of migrants in on-location tasks (62.2%) compared to web-based tasks (48.8%). Regarding educational attainment, 55.4% of the total cohort holds a tertiary degree, reaching 64.4% among web-based workers. Platform work intensity varies significantly: on-location workers averaged 85.4 hours of work in the last month, while web-based workers averaged 47.0 hours. Mean income from platform work as a percentage of the national median was 20.6% (SD 22.2). The mean WHO-5 Well-Being Index score was 58.7 (SD 20.3), which is notably lower than the European general population average (69.4), indicating poorer mental health outcomes among cohort members. Future plans: The GIG-OSH cohort represents the first large-scale, longitudinal study examining occupational safety and health among digital platform workers across multiple European countries. Future waves will prioritize developing precise tools to measure hourly earnings and unpaid waiting time. Future research should aim to include underrepresented subgroups, such as medical and domestic care workers, and explore potential linkage with administrative records to evaluate long-term health trajectories and the impact of new EU labour regulations.

Wastewater monitoring enables non-invasive, population-scale tracking of community infections independent of healthcare-seeking behavior and clinical diagnosis. Metagenomic sequencing extends this capability by enabling broad, pathogen-agnostic detection, genomic characterization, and identification of novel or unexpected threats. Here, we present data from CASPER (the Coalition for Agnostic Sequencing of Pathogens from Environmental Reservoirs), a U.S.-based wastewater metagenomic sequencing network designed for deep, untargeted pathogen monitoring at national scale. This release includes 1,206 samples collected between December 2023 and December 2025 from 27 sites across nine states, covering 13 million people. Deep sequencing (~1 billion read pairs per sample) generated 1.2 trillion read pairs (347 terabases), enabling detection of even rare taxa, with CASPER representing 66% of all untargeted wastewater sequencing data currently available on the NCBI Sequence Read Archive. Virus abundance trends correlate with nationwide wastewater PCR and clinical data for SARS-CoV-2, influenza A, and respiratory syncytial virus, while the pathogen-agnostic approach captures emerging threats, including avian influenza H5N1 during initial dairy cattle outbreaks, West Nile virus, and measles, among hundreds of viral taxa. As the largest publicly available untargeted wastewater sequencing dataset to date, CASPER provides a shared and growing resource for pathogen surveillance and microbial ecology.

Hybrid controlled trials (HCTs) incorporate real-world data into randomized controlled trials (RCTs) by augmenting the internal control arm with patients receiving the same treatment in routine care. Beyond increasing power, HCTs may improve recruitment by supporting unequal randomization ratios that increase patient access to experimental treatments. However, HCT validity is threatened by bias from unmeasured confounding due to lack of randomization of external controls, leading to outcome non-exchangeability between internal and external control patients. To address this challenge, we developed a sensitivity analysis framework to assess the robustness of HCT results to potential unmeasured confounding. We propose a tipping point analysis that adapts the E-value framework to the HCT setting where trial participation rather than treatment assignment is subject to confounding. To aid interpretation, we also introduce a data-driven benchmark representing the strength of unmeasured confounding reflected by the observed outcome non-exchangeability. We then propose an operational decision rule and evaluate its performance through simulation studies. Finally, we illustrate the approach using an asthma trial augmented by data from electronic health records. Simulation results demonstrate that our decision rule safeguards against Type I error inflation while preserving the power gains achieved by incorporating external data. In settings where moderate unmeasured confounding led to poorer outcomes for external controls, Type I error was controlled near the nominal 5% level, and power increased by 10-20% compared with analyses using RCT data alone. Our approach provides a practical, interpretable method to assess HCT robustness, supporting rigorous inference when integrating external real-world data.

Despite the relevance of spatial mapping in analyzing the health situation and understanding the risk factors and determinants of leptospirosis, peripheral urban communities often remain invisible on maps, which tend to use data and methods that do not express community contribution nor promote local participation. Furthermore, in the implementation of sanitation interventions, the same happens: there is limited user participation, and a lack of identification of intervention needs based on the perception of community residents, failing the interventions. We conducted a cross-sectional study through collaborative mapping from February to October 2022 with 213 residents and self-declared heads-of-household in two peripheral urban communities. We analyzed the perception of sanitation needs indicated by residents and their relationship with the risk of leptospirosis in these communities. Based on community perception, sewage (NS: 87.1%; JSI/ME: 84.9%) and urban cleaning and solid waste management (NS: 25.9%; JSI/ME: 32.6%) were the sanitation needs. In NS, most participants indicated that the necessary interventions for sewage improvement were actions of sewer cleaning and sealing (26.5%), sewer cleaning and piping (23.5%), and implementation/installation/construction of a sanitary sewage network (41.4%). In JSI/ME, interventions included sewage sealing (48.7%) and piping (25.6%), in addition to actions to maintain sewage cleaning (93.3%). The removal of solid waste (trash) in the square (NS: 22.2%) and on the streets (JSI/ME: 69.2%), as well as community awareness (JSI/ME: 15.4%), were indicated as interventions to meet the needs of urban cleaning and solid waste management. Respondents agreed on where interventions should occur, which congregated around the local river. We found a negative correlation between the predicted leptospirosis seropositivity and perceived intervention needs in both study areas. The prevention of diseases such as leptospirosis in peripheral urban communities requires integrated basic sanitation interventions, encompassing different components and aligned with the local needs perceived by residents.

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) is an effective surveillance approach for monitoring viruses of public health relevance at the community level, complementing clinical surveillance systems. Molecular methods such as PCR/qPCR are widely used for targeted detection, while next-generation sequencing (NGS) with targeted enrichment panels has emerged as a complementary strategy for broader viral detection and genomic characterization. This study comparatively evaluated conventional PCR/qPCR and a targeted enrichment whole-genome sequencing Viral Surveillance Panel (VSP, Illumina) for virus detection in wastewater. Fifty-six wastewater samples collected between 2017 and 2023 from a wastewater treatment plant in Cordoba, Argentina, were concentrated by polyethylene glycol precipitation and pooled by season and year, reaching a total of 14 pools. Each pool was analyzed in parallel by PCR/qPCR for eight human viruses of public health importance and by the VSP, targeting 66 viral species, sequenced on a NovaSeq 6000 platform, and analyzed with the DRAGEN pipeline. Detection frequencies for each virus using PCR/qPCR and VSP were: RoV A 100%/14.3%; NoV 100%/14.3%; AiV 50%/42.9%; SARS-CoV-2 14.3%/0%; HAV 42.9%/0%; HEV 14.3%/0%; JCPyV 35.7%/85.7%; BKPyV 28.6%/71.4%, respectively. In addition, VSP detected the genomes of Astrovirus (71.4%), Salivirus (21.4%), Coxsackie A (14.3%), Rotavirus C (14.3%), and Merkel Cell virus (7.1%), and enable the recovery of 16 near complete genomes (coverage > 92.5%) of AiV, JCPyV, BKPyV, Salivirus and Astrovirus. PCR/qPCR and targeted enrichment NGS provide complementary information wastewater viral surveillance. Their combined application improves virus detection and genomic characterization, reinforcing the value of integrated approaches in environmental virology and public health monitoring.

Introduction: Neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs) including Alzheimer's disease (AD), Parkinson's disease (PD), multiple sclerosis (MS), amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), and non-AD dementias share chronic neuroinflammatory mechanisms that contribute to neuronal injury and disease progression. While anti-inflammatory therapies (AITs) are associated with reduced neurodegenerative disease risk, knowledge regarding the impact of biological sex and treatment duration across multiple NDDs remains limited. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using a large propensity-score-matched population (n = 190,308; 95,154 treated vs 95,154 untreated) to evaluate associations between long-term AIT exposure and incidence of major NDDs. Disease-specific and combined outcomes were assessed across drug classes (NSAIDs, corticosteroids, immunomodulators), sex, age, and therapy duration. Results: AIT exposure was associated with a significantly lower risk of developing any NDD (RR = 0.47, 95% CI 0.43-0.48, p < .0001) and was equally effective in both sexes. Risk reduction was observed for each individual disease: AD (RR = 0.40), non-AD dementia (RR = 0.51), PD (RR = 0.43), MS (RR = 0.25), and ALS (RR = 0.48). Among drug classes, immunomodulators conferred the largest reduction (RR = 0.19), followed by corticosteroids (RR = 0.41) and NSAIDs (RR = 0.42). Duration analyses revealed a graded benefit, with RR declining from 0.94 (<1 year) to 0.25 (>6 years). Risk reduction was strongest in older participants (75-79 years). Discussion: Chronic use of anti-inflammatory or immunomodulatory therapies was associated with substantially reduced incidence of multiple neurodegenerative diseases in both sexes. The strongest effects were observed with immunomodulator use and prolonged therapy duration, suggesting that sustained modulation of systemic inflammation confers broad neuroprotective effects in both sexes. These findings highlight the potential of targeting immune-inflammatory pathways for neurodegenerative disease prevention and can inform prospective mechanistic and interventional studies.

Background. Although health mediation is widely studied in the U.S. through community health worker programs, evidence on their effectiveness in promoting cancer screening in Europe is limited. Since 2022, the "13 en Sante" program has implemented a multicomponent health mediation intervention -combining educational activities, outreach strategies, and navigation support- in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighbourhoods of Marseille, France. This study evaluates the effectiveness of this program in promoting breast, colorectal, and cervical cancer screening. Methods. A controlled before-after design based on two cross-sectional surveys was conducted in 2022 and 2024 in intervention or control neighbourhoods. Individuals aged 18-74 were randomly selected and interviewed via door-to-door questionnaires. Weighting was applied to account for stratified sampling and to align age and sex distributions with census data. Weighted logistic regression models were fitted for each cancer screening to estimate the intervention's effects on uptake and awareness at both individual and population levels. Findings. Overall, 4,523 individuals were included across the two cross-sectional surveys. The program successfully reached individuals facing cumulative socioeconomic barriers to healthcare access. No significant population-level effect was observed. At the individual level, declared exposure to health mediation was associated with significantly higher uptakes of breast and colorectal cancer screenings (breast: 54% vs 74%, OR=2.3 [1.1-4.5]; colorectal: 30% vs 50%, OR=2.8 [1.3-5.8]). In addition, colorectal cancer screening awareness was significantly higher among exposed participants (83% vs 93%, OR=8.1 [2.1-31]). Interpretation. This study provides the first evidence that a multicomponent health mediation intervention could effectively promote breast and colorectal cancer screening in disadvantaged French neighbourhoods. The study highlights screening-specific mechanisms of action that should be considered to further optimize intervention effectiveness. Funding. The survey was funded by the Regional Health Agency of Provence-Alpes-Cote d'Azur and Sante publique France.

Background: Human-to-human transmission of pathogens fundamentally depends on interactions among infectious and susceptible individuals, yet traditional population-scale models often overlook the stochastic, behaviour-driven, and highly heterogeneous nature of these interactions. Methods: Here, we develop a large-scale actor-based model capturing early epidemic dynamics of a novel respiratory pathogen on dynamic contact networks. We build these networks upon explicitly integrating detailed demographic and residential registry data from the Netherlands. The model simulates the Dutch population characterised by age, residency and mobility patterns, with actors interacting stochastically across households, workplaces and schools. Results: We show how the geographic and demographic profiles of initial cases impact transmission trajectories, with densely populated municipalities in the country's western core acting as key hubs driving epidemic spread. The framework enables rigorous assessment of intervention strategies incorporating behavioural adaptations. As case studies, we quantify the effects of symptomatic self-isolation and travel restrictions to and from major urban centres, highlighting their potential to modulate epidemic outcomes. Conclusions: Our findings underscore the necessity of integrating fine-scale human-to-human contact realism and population scale in epidemic forecasting and control.

The spread of Anopheles stephensi into the Horn of Africa represents one of the main challenges for malaria control, given the species ecological plasticity and resistance to multiple insecticides. In response to the World Health Organizations 2022 vector alert, an adaptive, model-based spatial surveillance framework was developed and evaluated to improve detection, mapping accuracy, and operational responsiveness during invasion. Adaptive surveillance utilises initial observations to guide subsequent surveillance, linking the surveillance design to the underlying geographical characteristics of Anopheles stephensi distribution through observed data. This dynamic approach targets areas of high uncertainty and/or abundance, making the design responsive rather than predetermined. Focusing on Djibouti and selected regions of Ethiopia and Kenya, the adaptive surveillance was designed on previous in-country Anopheles stephensi surveillance data integrated with assembled open-source environmental, epidemiological, and demographic covariates. Key driver factors of the average monthly Anopheles stephensi catches varied geographically, although seasonality was universally important. Adaptive site allocation was optimised using a multicriteria target function which combines the trapping probability and uncertainty from previous surveys, with a simulation based on peaks-over-threshold (generalized Pareto) modelling of exceedances and Bayes factor-guided prioritisation. The selected adaptive surveillance design is the one that minimise the uncertainty in Anopheles stephensi trapping probability in hotspot areas. Optimal adaptive designs required between 50 to 59 sites per country, with uncertainty reductions in the probability of trapping projected up to 36% in Djibouti and more than 60% in Ethiopia and Kenya, with more than 60% site implementation halving uncertainty in Djibouti and Kenya and reducing it by up to 75% in Ethiopia. The proposed adaptive surveillance framework operationalises WHO guidance, accelerates hotspot identification, and inform targeted ecological studies and control interventions. It is extensible to other urban vectors (e.g., Aedes aegypti), enabling integrated, cross-border surveillance essential to contain Anopheles stephensi during ongoing invasion.

Background Persistent inequities in immunisation coverage, particularly among zero-dose and under-immunised children, continue to challenge Pakistan's Expanded Programme on Immunization. Weak feedback loop, inconsistent data quality, and limited real-time monitoring impede effective decision-making. This Implementation Research was conducted under the MAINSTREAM Initiative funded by Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research (AHPSR) and supported by the Aga Khan Community Health Services Department and National Institutes of Health Pakistan to design, implement, and evaluate a digital monitoring and action planning tool to strengthen data-driven decision-making within routine immunisation systems. Methodology/Principal Findings A co-creation approach was employed to design a digital monitoring solution through inclusive consultations, key informant interviews, and focus group discussions with EPI Punjab at provincial and district levels. The solution included a customised mobile application for data collection and a Power BI visualisation dashboard to map low-coverage areas, identify drivers of dropouts and zero-dose children, and capture caregivers' information sources to inform targeted communication. The intervention was piloted in 60 households across six clusters of a Union Council of District Lahore. Advanced analytics identified reasons for non-vaccination and missed opportunities, generating tailored recommendations and practical plans for program managers. The analysis assessed acceptability, adoption, fidelity, and perceived scalability through field observations, system use, and stakeholder feedback. The co-developed digital tool enhanced visibility of coverage gaps through UC-level mapping, real-time dashboards, and structured action planning. Pilot testing in Lahore showed strong acceptability, ease of use, fidelity, and adaptability among managers, supervisors, and vaccinators. Scalability and sustainability potential were demonstrated, though barriers included leadership turnover, system fragmentation, workload pressures, and resource constraints. Conclusion The tool demonstrated feasibility to strengthen immunisation equity, accountability, and responsiveness. Co-creation with stakeholders enhanced ownership, operational relevance, and adoption, while complementing existing platforms. Sustainability will depend on effective integration, local ownership, capacity building, and accountability, while scalability requires interoperability, resource commitment, policy support, and alignment with existing workflows.

Abstract Background: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are common health issue during pregnancy, often lead to adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes if left untreated, low knowledge contribute to high UTI rates, particularly in resource-limited settings like Jordan. To assess the knowledge levels about UTIs among pregnant women in Jordan and its association with socio-demographic characteristics. Methods: A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted among 500 pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in four major governmental hospitals across Jordan. Data were collected using a validated questionnaire based on the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) comprising 25 questions, including 5 socio-demographic questions and 20 knowledge questions, scores were categorized as "adequate" or "inadequate" based on the median score. Results: Among participants, 51.4% had inadequate knowledge, while 48.6% demonstrated adequate knowledge. Higher knowledge levels were significantly associated with younger age (21-30 years), urban residence, higher education (university and postgraduate), and employment status. Conclusion: The findings highlight a knowledge gap among pregnant women regarding UTIs. Integrating targeted health education and addressing socio-demographic disparities into antenatal care, especially for women with low education and rural residence, may improve maternal outcomes. Keywords: Urinary tract infection, Knowledge, Pregnancy, Antenatal care, Jordan, Maternal health.

Understanding host susceptibility to Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is critical for the development of new vaccines. Certain individuals "resist" becoming infected with Mtb despite intensive exposure; however, it is unknown whether there is a genetic basis for "resistance" to Mtb infection across populations. Here we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of resistance to Mtb infection by carefully characterizing exposure to TB patients among 4,058 close contacts in India, Brazil, and South Africa. 476 (12%) "resisters" remained free of Mtb infection despite substantial exposure to highly infectious TB patients. GWAS identified a novel chromosome 13 locus (rs1295104126) associated with resistance across the multi-ancestry meta-analysis. Comparing Mtb-infection to all uninfected contacts, irrespective of exposure, yielded a different locus on chromosome 6 (rs28752534), near the HLA-II region. These findings demonstrate a common genetic basis for resistance to Mtb infection across multi-ancestral cohorts with potential to elucidate novel mechanisms of protection from Mtb infection.

Background: Quadriceps weakness may reduce sagittal plane shock absorption during landing, shifting load toward the frontal plane and increasing knee abduction moment (KAM), a biomechanical risk factor for anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries. Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between isokinetic quadriceps strength and peak KAM during drop vertical jump landing in adolescent athletes. Study Design: Secondary analysis of previously collected data. Methods: Healthy adolescent athletes completed quadriceps strength testing using an isokinetic dynamometer and a biomechanical assessment during a drop vertical jump task. Quadriceps strength was quantified as peak concentric torque and the peak external KAM was calculated during the landing phase on the dominant limb. Both strength and KAM were normalized to body mass. Linear regression was used to examine the association between normalized quadriceps strength and peak external KAM on the dominant limb. Results: The association between quadriceps strength and peak normalized KAM on the dominant limb was not statistically significant ({beta} = -0.053 (95% CI [-0.137 to 0.030]), F(1,119) = 1.62, R2 = 0.013, p = 0.206). Quadriceps strength explained only 1.3% of the variance in peak KAM, indicating a negligible association between these variables in this cohort. Discussion: Quadriceps strength was not associated with peak normalized KAM during landing, suggesting that frontal-plane knee loading during a drop vertical jump is not meaningfully explained by maximal concentric quadriceps strength alone. KAM appears to be driven more by multi-joint movement strategy and neuromuscular coordination than by the capacity of a single muscle group.

Objectives: Compare Anterior Cruciate Ligament (ACL) Return to Sport after Injury (ACL-RSI) scores over time following ACL reconstruction (ACLR) between male and female patients aged 15 to 25 years with primary ACL injuries and ACL reinjuries. Design: Retrospective cohort design. Setting: Sports physical therapy clinics. Participants: 332 patients aged 15-25 years who underwent ACLR following either primary ACL injury or ACL reinjury, either contralateral or ipsilateral graft reinjury, and had at least one observation of the ACL-RSI. Main Outcome Measures: ACL-RSI score. Results: ACL-RSI scores significantly increased over time post- ACLR (p < .001), males reported significantly higher scores compared to females (p < .001), and patients with contralateral ACL reinjury demonstrated higher scores than those with ipsilateral ACL graft reinjury (p = .006), though there was no difference in scores between patients with primary ACL injury and ACL reinjury. A significant interaction effect of sex and injury status was also observed (p = .009), generally demonstrating that females had lower psychological readiness compared to males across injury statuses. Conclusions: ACL-RSI following ACLR varies based on biological sex and time post-ACLR, though ACL reinjury, independent of the reinjured leg, does not appear to effect scores compared to primary ACL injury.